Unpacking the Agricultural Black Box: The Rise and Fall of American Farm Productivity Growth

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic History
Year: 2021
Volume: 81
Issue: 1
Pages: 114-155

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Has the golden age of U.S. agricultural productivity growth ended? We analyze the detailed patterns of productivity growth spanning a century of profound changes in American agriculture. We document a substantial slowing of U.S. farm productivity growth, following a late mid-century surge—20 years after the surge and slowdown in U.S. industrial productivity growth. We posit and empirically probe three related explanations for this farm productivity surge-slowdown: the time path of agricultural R&D-driven knowledge stocks; a big wave of technological progress associated with great clusters of inventions; and dynamic aspects of the structural transformation of agriculture, largely completed by 1980.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jechis:v:81:y:2021:i:1:p:114-155_4
Journal Field
Economic History
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24