Pricing of index options in incomplete markets

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 144
Issue: 1
Pages: 174-205

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We characterize a set of risk-neutral measures associated with a comprehensive class of risk averse investors. From this set, we show how to construct option price bounds and recover the implied γ: a parameter uniquely identifying the marginal investor pricing a given option. Empirically, we find that S&P 500 option prices are reconciled by heterogeneous marginal investors who differ in their assessment of tail risk. This heterogeneity is time-varying, decreases during financial crises, and provides novel insights into the skew patterns of index options. The recovered investors’ preferences related to compensation for downside risk help predict future market returns.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:144:y:2022:i:1:p:174-205
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24