Constrained Polynomial Likelihood

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Year: 2025
Volume: 43
Issue: 2
Pages: 482-493

Authors (3)

Caio Almeida (Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV)) Ricardo Masini (not in RePEc) Paul Schneider (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a nonnegative polynomial minimum-norm likelihood ratio (PLR) of two distributions of which only moments are known. The sample PLR converges to the unknown population PLR under mild conditions. The methodology allows for additional shape restrictions, as we illustrate with two empirical applications. The first develops a PLR for the unknown transition density of a jump-diffusion process, while the second extracts a positive density directly from option prices. In both cases, we show the importance of implementing the non-negativity restriction.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:jnlbes:v:43:y:2025:i:2:p:482-493
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24