Observation-driven filtering of time-varying parameters using moment conditions

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2024
Volume: 238
Issue: 2

Authors (4)

Creal, Drew (not in RePEc) Koopman, Siem Jan (Tinbergen Instituut) Lucas, André (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam) Zamojski, Marcin (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a new and flexible semi-parametric approach for time-varying parameter models when the true dynamics are unknown. The time-varying parameters are estimated using a recursive updating scheme that is driven by the influence function of a conditional moments-based criterion. We show that the updates ensure local improvements of the conditional criterion function in expectation. The dynamics are observation driven, which yields a computationally efficient methodology that does not require advanced simulation techniques for estimation. We illustrate the new approach using both simulated and real empirical data and derive new, robust filters for time-varying scales based on characteristic functions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:238:y:2024:i:2:s0304407623003512
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25