Observation-Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2014
Volume: 96
Issue: 5
Pages: 898-915

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose an observation-driven dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. Time series observations may come from a range of families of distributions, be observed at different frequencies, have missing observations, and exhibit common dynamics and cross-sectional dependence due to shared dynamic latent factors. A feature of our model is that the likelihood function is known in closed form. This enables parameter estimation using standard maximum likelihood methods. We adopt the new framework for signal extraction and forecasting of macro, credit, and loss given default risk conditions for U.S. Moody's-rated firms from January 1982 to March 2010.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:96:y:2014:i:5:p:898-915
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25