Bond risk premia in consumption‐based models

B-Tier
Journal: Quantitative Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 11
Issue: 4
Pages: 1461-1484

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Gaussian affine term structure models attribute time‐varying bond risk premia to changing risk prices driven by the conditional means of the risk factors, while structural models with recursive preferences credit it to stochastic volatility. We reconcile these competing channels by introducing a novel form of stochastic rate of time preference into an otherwise standard model with recursive preferences. Our model is affine and has analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We use particle Markov chain Monte Carlo to estimate the model, and find that time variation in bond term premia is predominantly driven by the risk price channel.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:quante:v:11:y:2020:i:4:p:1461-1484
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25