Linear and non-linear Granger causality between oil spot and futures prices: A wavelet based test

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2014
Volume: 48
Issue: PA
Pages: 175-201

Authors (3)

Alzahrani, Mohammed (King Fahd University of Petrol...) Masih, Mansur (not in RePEc) Al-Titi, Omar (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study is the first attempt to investigate both the linear and non-linear Granger causality between wavelet transformed spot and futures oil prices. Our findings consistently indicate bidirectional causality between the spot and futures oil markets at different time scales, under linear and non-linear causality assumptions, and also during the recent financial crisis. Our results tend to shed further light on the ongoing controversy over the relative price discovery role played by spot market as opposed to futures market in oil price fluctuations, especially during periods of high uncertainty.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:48:y:2014:i:pa:p:175-201
Journal Field
International
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24