Pushing the limit? Fiscal policy in the European Monetary Union

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2013
Volume: 37
Issue: 11
Pages: 2307-2321

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Governments are confronted with the growing realization that they face fiscal limits on the size of debt and deficits relative to GDP. These fiscal limits invalidate Bohn's criterion for fiscal sustainability, which allows explosive debt relative to GDP, eventually violating any fiscal limit. We derive restrictions on a fiscal rule, necessary for the government to eliminate explosive behavior. These restrictions require that the response of the primary surplus to debt be relatively strong, and that the primary surplus be cointegrated with both debt and output. We test these empirical implications for a panel of eleven EMU countries, and find that they are satisfied, implying that fiscal policy does not create explosive behavior.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:37:y:2013:i:11:p:2307-2321
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25