Has the real rate of return “depreciated”?

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Growth
Year: 2025
Volume: 30
Issue: 1
Pages: 49-85

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract The average depreciation rate in the United States has increased since the 1970s, a pattern most likely matched in other advanced economies. We argue that a higher depreciation rate has reduced the risk-free interest rate. We do so in a quantitative overlapping-generations model which allows for risk-premia and market power. We show that the importance of the rate of depreciation on the risk-free interest rate depends crucially on the elasticity of intertemporal substitution as well as the size of market power. Our calibrated model shows that higher depreciation plausibly reduced the risk-free rate by 30 basis points over the past half century. We contrast our results with models using a representative-agent framework (Farhi and Gourio in Accounting for macro-finance trends: market power, intangibles, and risk premia. Brookings papers on economic activity, 147, 2019) which typically do not find a role for the rate of depreciation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:kap:jecgro:v:30:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10887-024-09248-w
Journal Field
Growth/Demographic
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25