Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2020
Volume: 195
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Álvarez, Luis J. (Banco de España) Correa-López, Mónica (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyze the information content of alternative inflation expectations measures, including those from consumers, firms, experts and financial markets, in the context of open economy Phillips curves. We adopt a thick modeling approach with rolling regressions and we assess the results of an out-of sample conditional forecasting exercise by means of meta regressions. The information content varies substantially across inflation expectations measures. In particular, we find that those from consumers and firms are better at predicting inflation if compared to those from experts and, especially, those from financial markets.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:195:y:2020:i:c:s0165176520302780
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24