The Phillips Curve, the Persistence of Inflation, and the Lucas Critique: Evidence from Exchange-Rate Regimes.

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 1991
Volume: 81
Issue: 5
Pages: 1254-75

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The authors present evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom that the persistence of price inflation is significantly higher under managed-exchange-rate regimes than under gold-based, fixed-exchange-rate regimes. These differences are also reflected in expectations-augmented Phillips curves. The authors use a two-country macro model, with forward-looking price setters, to demonstrate that higher monetary accommodation of inflation and exchange-rate accommodation of inflation differentials increase inflation persistence. The evidence does not contradict this hypothesis. It supports the hypothesis of forward-looking price setters and highlights the empirical significance of the Lucas critique. Copyright 1991 by American Economic Association.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:81:y:1991:i:5:p:1254-75
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24