Adaptive learning with a unit root: An application to the current account

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2010
Volume: 34
Issue: 2
Pages: 179-190

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper develops a simple two-country, two-good model of international trade and borrowing that suppresses all previous sources of current account dynamics. Under rational expectations, international debt follows a random walk. Under adaptive learning, however, the model's unit root is eliminated and international debt is either a stationary or an explosive process, depending on agents' specific learning algorithm. Some stationary learning algorithms result in debt following an AR(1) process with an autoregressive coefficient less than 0.8. Because unit roots are a common and problematic feature of many international business cycle models, our results offer a new approach for generating stationarity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:34:y:2010:i:2:p:179-190
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25