Capital flow reversals and currency crises: Do capital flow types matter?

B-Tier
Journal: Review of International Economics
Year: 2024
Volume: 32
Issue: 4
Pages: 1787-1823

Authors (4)

Mengting Zhang (not in RePEc) Andreas Steiner (CESifo) Jakob de Haan (not in RePEc) Haizhen Yang (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyze how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies. In developing economies, reversals of portfolio debt flows and banking flows have a significant positive impact on currency crises. Finally, our results suggest that countries with mature financial systems and fixed exchange rate regimes are less likely to experience a currency crisis after a capital flow shock. The mediating role of capital account liberalization varies by country type.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:reviec:v:32:y:2024:i:4:p:1787-1823
Journal Field
International
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25