Strategic or Confused Firms? Evidence from “Missing” Transactions in Uganda

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2024
Volume: 106
Issue: 1
Pages: 256-265

Authors (4)

Miguel Almunia (CUNEF Universidad) Jonas Hjort (Columbia University) Justine Knebelmann (not in RePEc) Lin Tian (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Are firms sophisticated maximizers, or do they appear to make mistakes? Using transaction data from Ugandan value-added tax returns, we show that sellers and buyers report different amounts 79% of the time, despite invoices being easily cross-checked. Our estimates suggest that most firms are “advantageous misreporters,” but that 25% are “disadvantageous misreporters” who systematically overreport own sales minus purchases such that their tax liability increases. Similarly, many firms—especially disadvantageous misreporters—fail to VAT-report imported inputs they themselves reported at Customs, increasing their liability. On net, unilateral VAT misreporting cost Uganda about US$384 million in foregone 2013–2016 tax revenue.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:106:y:2024:i:1:p:256-265
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24