Modeling Stock Prices without Knowing How to Induce Stationarity

B-Tier
Journal: Econometric Theory
Year: 1996
Volume: 12
Issue: 4
Pages: 739-740

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In “Modeling Stock Prices without Knowing How to Induce Stationarity” (1994, Econometric Theory 10, 701–719), we used posterior-odds calculations to evaluate restrictions imposed by a present-value model of stock prices across the equations of a VAR representation of stock prices and dividends. The results we reported are tainted by the omission of two factors: the Jacobians induced by the mapping of our priors over VAR parameters β into the restricted sample spaces relevant under hypotheses H2-H4 (hence, tainting our calculations of p(Hi|y,X) in (22) for i = 2–4), and an integrating constant needed in calculating the unrestricted probability p(Hi|y,X) in (22). Table 1 reports our revised calculations, which differ substantively from those reported previously.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:etheor:v:12:y:1996:i:04:p:739-740_00
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25