Multivariate semi-nonparametric distributions with dynamic conditional correlations

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2011
Volume: 27
Issue: 2
Pages: 347-364

Authors (3)

Del Brio, Esther B. (not in RePEc) Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel (not in RePEc) Perote, Javier (Universidad de Salamanca)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper generalizes the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model of Engle (2002), incorporating a flexible non-Gaussian distribution based on Gram-Charlier expansions. The resulting semi-nonparametric-DCC (SNP-DCC) model allows estimation in two stages and deals with the negativity problem which is inherent in truncated SNP densities. We test the performance of a SNP-DCC model with respect to the (Gaussian)-DCC through an empirical application of density forecasting for portfolio returns. Our results show that the proposed multivariate model provides a better in-sample fit and forecast of the portfolio returns distribution, and thus is useful for financial risk forecasting and evaluation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:2:p:347-364
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25