Stability of Experimental Results: Forecasts and Evidence

B-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics
Year: 2022
Volume: 14
Issue: 3
Pages: 889-925

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

How robust are experimental results to changes in design? And can researchers anticipate which changes matter most? We consider a real-effort task with multiple behavioral treatments and examine the stability along six dimensions: (i) pure replication, (ii) demographics, (iii) geography and culture, (iv) the task, (v) the output measure, and (vi) the presence of a consent form. We find near-perfect replication of the experimental results and full stability of the results across demographics, significantly higher than a group of experts expected. The results differ instead across task and output change, mostly because the task change adds noise to the findings.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmic:v:14:y:2022:i:3:p:889-925
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25