Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2022
Volume: 84
Issue: 1
Pages: 57-79

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We discuss a model‐based simultaneous decomposition of multiple time series in short‐term and medium‐term cyclical dynamics. We associate short‐term dynamic features with the business cycle and medium‐term dynamic features with the financial cycle. For eight advanced economies, we analyse a set of macroeconomic and financial time series data. A strong and common finding among all economies is the co‐cyclicality of medium‐term cycles, especially those corresponding to house price and gross domestic product variables. We also find empirical evidence that the house price is partly driven by the credit cycle. Most cyclical movements in the country‐specific time series appear to be driven by domestic rather than global factors.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:84:y:2022:i:1:p:57-79
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25