Extremal Dependence in International Output Growth: Tales from the Tails

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2014
Volume: 76
Issue: 4
Pages: 605-620

Authors (2)

Miguel Carvalho (not in RePEc) António Rua (Banco de Portugal)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="obes12032-abs-0001"> <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>This article explores the comovement of the economic activity of several OECD countries during periods of large negative and positive growth. Extremal dependence measures are here applied to assess the degree of cross-country tail dependence of output growth rates. Our main empirical findings are: (i) cross-country tail dependence is much stronger during periods of large negative growth, than during the ones of large positive growth; (ii) cross-country growth is asymptotically independent; (iii) cross-country tail dependence is considerably stronger than the one arising from a Gaussian dependence model. In addition, our results suggest that, among the typical determinants for explaining international output growth synchronization, only economic specialization similarity seems to play a role during such extreme periods.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:76:y:2014:i:4:p:605-620
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25