The Interest Rate Elasticity of Mortgage Demand: Evidence from Bunching at the Conforming Loan Limit

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Year: 2017
Volume: 9
Issue: 1
Pages: 210-40

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper provides novel estimates of the interest rate elasticity of mortgage demand by measuring the degree of bunching in response to a discrete jump in interest rates at the conforming loan limit--the maximum loan size eligible for purchase by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The estimates indicate that a 1 percentage point increase in the rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reduces first mortgage demand by between 2 and 3 percent. One-third of this response is driven by borrowers who take out second mortgages, which implies that total mortgage debt only declines by 1.5 to 2 percent.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejpol:v:9:y:2017:i:1:p:210-40
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25