Terms-of-Trade Shocks Are Not All Alike

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2025
Volume: 17
Issue: 2
Pages: 24-64

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Terms of trade are an inaccurate empirical proxy for how fluctuations in international prices affect the economy. To capture the relevance of terms-of-trade fluctuations for the domestic business cycle, the role of export and import prices needs to be analyzed separately. Using a sample of developing economies, we find that the economy's response to a positive export price shock does not mirror the response to a negative import price shock.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:17:y:2025:i:2:p:24-64
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25