Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2023
Volume: 153
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Dibiasi, Andreas (Aix-Marseille Université) Sarferaz, Samad (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper constructs internationally consistent measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our econometric framework extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to post-WWII real-time data, we estimate macroeconomic uncertainty for 39 countries. The cross-country dimension of our uncertainty data allows us to study the impact of uncertainty shocks under varying degrees of employment protection legislation. Our empirical findings suggest that the effects of uncertainty shocks are stronger and more persistent in countries with low employment protection compared to countries with high employment protection. These empirical findings are in line with a theoretical model under varying firing cost.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:153:y:2023:i:c:s0014292123000120
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25