Country Size, International Trade, and Aggregate Fluctuations in Granular Economies

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2012
Volume: 120
Issue: 6
Pages: 1083 - 1132

Authors (2)

Julian di Giovanni (not in RePEc) Andrei A. Levchenko (University of Michigan)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper proposes a new mechanism by which country size and international trade affect macroeconomic volatility. We study a model with heterogeneous firms that are subject to idiosyncratic firm-specific shocks, calibrated to data for the 50 largest economies in the world. When the firm size distribution follows a power law with an exponent close to minus one, idiosyncratic shocks to large firms have an impact on aggregate volatility. Smaller countries have fewer firms and, thus, higher volatility. Trade opening makes the large firms more important, thus raising macroeconomic volatility. Trade can increase aggregate volatility by 15-20 percent in some small open economies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/669161
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25