A real options perspective on the future of the Euro

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2014
Volume: 61
Issue: C
Pages: 78-109

Authors (2)

Alvarez, Fernando (not in RePEc) Dixit, Avinash (Princeton University)

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

A break-up of the Eurozone is no longer regarded as implausible. This will be a costly and irreversible decision in conditions of continuing uncertainty; therefore it is amenable to analysis in the real options framework. We do so by solving as an n-dimensional optimal stopping problem with country-specific shocks and “convergence” of member economies. We compare a complete break-up with individual country departures. In calibrated solutions for a symmetric case we find a non-negligible but small option value. Furthermore, we find a new theoretical result on the non-monotonicity of abandonment threshold with respect to volatility.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:61:y:2014:i:c:p:78-109
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25