Forecasting profitability and earnings: a study of the UK market (1982-2000)

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2005
Volume: 37
Issue: 17
Pages: 2009-2018

Authors (2)

D. E. Allen (Asia University) H. M. Salim (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

An approach recently developed by Fama and French (2000) is applied to the study of whether UK company profitability is mean-reverting. A sample of roughly 987 firms per year for a period from 1982-2000 is used, drawn from Datastream. In a simple partial adjustment model convergence towards the mean at a rate of about 25% per year is found. The results are very similar in direction to those of Fama and French (2000) but the results do not display significant non-linearities. The change in profitability appears to be more strongly influenced by dividends in the UK.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:2009-2018
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24