A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2014
Volume: 96
Issue: 4
Pages: 638-647

Authors (4)

Neville Francis (not in RePEc) Michael T. Owyang (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Lo...) Jennifer E. Roush (not in RePEc) Riccardo DiCecio (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Recent studies using long-run restrictions question the validity of the technology-driven real business cycle hypothesis. We propose an alternative identification that maximizes the contribution of technology shocks to the forecast-error variance of labor productivity at a long but finite horizon. In small-sample Monte Carlo experiments, our identification outperforms standard long-run restrictions by significantly reducing the bias in the short-run impulse responses and raising their estimation precision. Unlike its long-run restriction counterpart, when our Max Share identification technique is applied to U.S. data, it delivers the robust result that hours worked responds negatively to positive technology shocks. © 2014 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:96:y:2014:i:4:p:638-647
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25