A Flexible Finite-Horizon Alternative to Long-Run Restrictions with an Application to Technology Shocks

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2014
Volume: 96
Issue: 4
Pages: 638-647

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Recent studies using long-run restrictions question the validity of the technology-driven real business cycle hypothesis. We propose an alternative identification that maximizes the contribution of technology shocks to the forecast-error variance of labor productivity at a long but finite horizon. In small-sample Monte Carlo experiments, our identification outperforms standard long-run restrictions by significantly reducing the bias in the short-run impulse responses and raising their estimation precision. Unlike its long-run restriction counterpart, when our Max Share identification technique is applied to U.S. data, it delivers the robust result that hours worked responds negatively to positive technology shocks. © 2014 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:96:y:2014:i:4:p:638-647
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25