The information content of implied skewness and kurtosis changes prior to earnings announcements for stock and option returns

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2012
Volume: 36
Issue: 3
Pages: 786-802

Authors (4)

Diavatopoulos, Dean (not in RePEc) Doran, James S. (Florida State University) Fodor, Andy (not in RePEc) Peterson, David R. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.505 = (α=2.02 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We use option prices to examine whether changes in stock return skewness and kurtosis preceding earnings announcements provide information about subsequent stock and option returns. We demonstrate that changes in jump risk premiums can lead to changes in implied skewness and kurtosis and are also associated with the mean and variability of the stock price response to the earnings announcement. We find that changes in both moments have strong predictive power for future stock returns, even after controlling for implied volatility. Additionally, changes in both moments predict call returns, while put return predictability is primarily linked to changes in skewness.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:36:y:2012:i:3:p:786-802
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25