Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2004
Volume: 94
Issue: 4
Pages: 813-835

Authors (3)

Xavier Sala-I-Martin (Columbia University) Gernot Doppelhofer (not in RePEc) Ronald I. Miller (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It introduces and employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates by averaging OLS coefficients across models. The weights given to individual regressions have a Bayesian justification similar to the Schwarz model selection criterion. Of 67 explanatory variables we find 18 to be significantly and robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another three variables to be marginally related. The strongest evidence is for the relative price of investment, primary school enrollment, and the initial level of real GDP per capita.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:94:y:2004:i:4:p:813-835
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25