Population Aging and Bank Risk-Taking

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2024
Volume: 59
Issue: 7
Pages: 3037-3061

Authors (3)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

What are the implications of an aging population for financial stability? To examine this question, we exploit geographic variation in aging across U.S. counties. We establish that banks with higher exposure to aging counties increase loan-to-income ratios. Laxer lending standards lead to higher nonperforming loans during downturns, suggesting higher credit risk. Inspecting the mechanism shows that aging drives risk-taking through two contemporaneous channels: deposit inflows due to seniors’ propensity to save in deposits; and depressed local investment opportunities due to seniors’ lower credit demand. Banks thus look for riskier clients, especially in counties where they operate no branches.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:59:y:2024:i:7:p:3037-3061_2
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25