Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2015
Volume: 77
Issue: 5
Pages: 681-700

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="obes12078-abs-0001"> <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>We analyze the interrelation between consumers' quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations as well as actual inflation rates in Sweden. The role of media reports about inflation is emphasized. Structural vector error correction models show stable cointegration between actual, perceived and expected inflation. Impulse responses and forecast error variance decompositions suggest strong interaction between perceived and expected inflation, with a lesser role for actual inflation. Media effects are generally small, but imply an asymmetric reaction of inflation expectations and perceptions to news on increasing vs. decreasing inflation. Thus, to anchor inflation expectations, central banks should explore better communication channels to inform consumers about actual inflation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:77:y:2015:i:5:p:681-700
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25