Explaining Disagreement on Interest Rates in a Taylor‐Rule Setting

B-Tier
Journal: Scandanavian Journal of Economics
Year: 2017
Volume: 119
Issue: 4
Pages: 987-1009

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Most studies on disagreement focus on one specific variable, thereby neglecting the fact that disagreement can be co‐moving with disagreement on other variables. In this paper, we explore to what extent disagreement regarding the interest rate is driven by disagreement on inflation and unemployment. This relationship can be motivated by the theoretical concept of the Taylor rule. Using survey microdata for both professional forecasters and consumers, we provide evidence that disagreement on the interest rate is mainly driven by disagreement on inflation. We further show that disagreement is significantly influenced by central bank transparency, as well as news on money and credit conditions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:scandj:v:119:y:2017:i:4:p:987-1009
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25