Are Consumers' Spending Decisions in Line with A Euler Equation?

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2021
Volume: 103
Issue: 3
Pages: 580-596

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Evaluating a new survey of German consumers, we test whether individual consumption spending decisions are formed according to a Euler equation model. We find that consumers are more likely to increase current spending if they plan to increase spending in the future and if they expect higher inflation. In the subsample of financially literate households, we find an additional negative effect of nominal interest rate expectations. The effects of macroeconomic expectations become stronger if consumers observed news on monetary policy or financial markets. These news effects are particularly pronounced for consumers who save and those with low inflation forecast accuracy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:103:y:2021:i:3:p:580-596
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25