Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and reducing misspecification in empirical macroeconomic models

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 117
Issue: C
Pages: 258-277

Authors (2)

Den Haan, Wouter J. (not in RePEc) Drechsel, Thomas (University of Maryland)

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Constructing empirical specifications for structural economic models is difficult, if not impossible. As shown in this paper, even minor misspecifications may lead to large distortions for parameter estimates and implied model properties. We propose a novel concept, namely an agnostic structural disturbance (ASD), that can be used to both detect and correct for misspecification of structural disturbances and is easy to implement. While agnostic in nature, the estimated coefficients and associated impulse response functions of the ASDs allow us to give them an economic interpretation. We adopt the methodology to the Smets–Wouters model and formulate an improved risk-premium and an improved investment-specific productivity disturbance.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:258-277
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25