The Decline of Too Big to Fail

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2025
Volume: 115
Issue: 3
Pages: 945-74

Authors (3)

Antje Berndt (not in RePEc) Darrell Duffie (Stanford University) Yichao Zhu (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.691 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

For globally systemically important banks (GSIBs) with US headquarters, we find significant reductions in market-implied probabilities of government bailout after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), along with roughly 170 percent higher wholesale debt financing costs for these banks after controlling for insolvency risk. Since the GFC, bank creditors appear to expect much larger losses in the event that a GSIB approaches insolvency. In this sense, we estimate a decline of "too big to fail."

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:115:y:2025:i:3:p:945-74
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25