Marketwide Private Information in Stocks: Forecasting Currency Returns

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2008
Volume: 63
Issue: 5
Pages: 2297-2343

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We present a model of equity trading with informed and uninformed investors where informed investors trade on firm‐specific and marketwide private information. The model is used to identify the component of order flow due to marketwide private information. Estimated trades driven by marketwide private information display little or no correlation with the first principal component in order flow. Indeed, we find that co‐movement in order flow captures variation mostly in liquidity trades. Marketwide private information obtained from equity market data forecasts industry stock returns, and also currency returns.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:63:y:2008:i:5:p:2297-2343
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24