Fearing the Fed: How wall street reads main street

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2024
Volume: 153
Issue: C

Authors (4)

Elenev, Vadim (Johns Hopkins University) Law, Tzuo-Hann (not in RePEc) Song, Dongho (Johns Hopkins University) Yaron, Amir (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide strong evidence of a countercyclical sensitivity of the stock market to major macroeconomic announcements. The most notable cyclical variation takes place within expansions: sensitivity is largest early in an expansion and essentially zero late in an expansion. By exploiting the comovement pattern between stocks and bonds around announcements, we show that the stock market sensitivity is large when the cash flow component of news is least offset by news about future risk-free rates. Observed fluctuations in stock sensitivities can be attributed to shifting perceptions of monetary policy responsiveness.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:153:y:2024:i:c:s0304405x24000138
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25