Euro-area business confidence and COVID-19

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 54
Issue: 43
Pages: 4915-4929

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

I study the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on business confidence in 11 Euro area countries and its impact on economic activity. To obtain causal effects, I instrument business confidence with domestic household confidence as well as household confidence in neighboring countries. I find evidence suggesting that the confidence channel was a sizable component to the economic transmission of COVID-19. A one standard deviation drop in business confidence leads to between 5–6 and 9% fall in economic activity in the industrial and wholesale and retail trade sectors, respectively. These results highlight the importance of managing confidence and expectations in crisis episodes.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4915-4929
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24