Jumps in Oil Prices: The Role of Economic News

B-Tier
Journal: The Energy Journal
Year: 2013
Volume: 34
Issue: 3
Pages: 217-237

Authors (3)

John Elder (Colorado State University) Hong Miao (not in RePEc) Sanjay Ramchander (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Previous research has been unable to identify a strong link between crude oil prices and economic news. We reexamine this relationship using high frequency intraday data and relatively new methodology to estimate jumps in oil prices. We find a surprisingly strong correspondence between high frequency jumps in oil prices and the arrival of new economic information, with the largest jumps tending to be preceded identifiable economic news. These results indicate that oil prices respond very rapidly to new economic data in ways that appear consistent with economic theory, and also suggest that economic news, rather than speculation unrelated to the economic environment, drives jumps in oil prices.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:sae:enejou:v:34:y:2013:i:3:p:217-237
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25