COMMON TRENDS AND COMMON CYCLES

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 1993
Volume: 8
Issue: 4
Pages: 341-360

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The existence of a serial correlation common feature among the first differences of a set of 1(1) variables implies the existence of a common cycle in the Beveridge–Nelson–Stock–Watson decomposition of those variables. A test for the existence of common cycles among cointegrated variables is developed. The test is used to examine the validity of the common trend‐common cycle structure implied by Flavin's excess sensitivity hypothesis and Campbell and Mankiw's mixture of rational expectations and rule‐of‐thumb hypothesis for consumption and income. Linear independence between the cointegration and the cofeature vectors is exploited to decompose consumption and income into their trend and cycle components.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:8:y:1993:i:4:p:341-360
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25