Trade Policies and Fiscal Devaluations

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2023
Volume: 15
Issue: 4
Pages: 104-40

Authors (3)

Christopher Erceg (International Monetary Fund (I...) Andrea Prestipino (not in RePEc) Andrea Raffo (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Fiscal devaluations—an increase in import tariffs and export subsidies (IX) or an increase in value-added taxes and payroll subsidies (VP)—have been shown to provide as much stimulus under fixed exchange rates as a currency devaluation. We find that if agents expect policies to be reversed and the tax pass-through is large, VP is contractionary and IX provides a modest boost. In our medium-scale DSGE model, both features are crucial in accounting for Germany's underperformance in response to VP in 2007. These findings cast doubt on fiscal devaluations as a cyclical stabilization tool when monetary policy is constrained.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:15:y:2023:i:4:p:104-40
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25