Which continuous-time model is most appropriate for exchange rates?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2015
Volume: 61
Issue: S2
Pages: S256-S268

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper evaluates the most appropriate ways to model diffusion and jump features of high-frequency exchange rates in the presence of intraday periodicity in volatility. We show that periodic volatility distorts the size and power of conventional tests of Brownian motion, jumps and (in)finite activity. We propose a correction for periodicity that restores the properties of the test statistics. Empirically, the most plausible model for 1-min exchange rate data features Brownian motion and both finite activity and infinite activity jumps. Test rejection rates vary over time, however, indicating time variation in the data generating process. We discuss the implications of results for market microstructure and currency option pricing.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:61:y:2015:i:s2:p:s256-s268
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25