Global and local economic uncertainties and office vacancy in Australia: a sub-class analysis

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 54
Issue: 47
Pages: 5393-5411

Authors (4)

Hassan F. Gholipour (not in RePEc) Amir Arjomandi (not in RePEc) Mohammad Reza Farzanegan (CESifo) Sharon Yam (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Motivated by uncertainties caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, this study examines how office vacancy ratios (for premium, A, B, C and D-grade spaces) in Australia respond to shocks in global and local economic uncertainties. Using semiannual data from 1998 to 2020 and applying the vector autoregression (VAR) model, our results suggest that office vacancy ratios respond positively to economic uncertainty shocks in general, and especially to local economic uncertainty. Moreover, our sub-class analyses show that vacancy ratios in various office spaces respond differently to uncertainty shocks. The office vacancy ratio in premium-grade office responds to both shocks after one year with its responses fading out in year three. B-grade and C-grade vacancy ratios respond to both shocks within the first year and responses last for about 4 years. Additionally, sub-lease vacancy ratios in the aggregate office space show quick responses to uncertainty shocks (dying out in 2 years), while direct vacancy ratios respond after about 1 year (but fading out in 3 years).

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5393-5411
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25