The Lucas Critique, Policy Invariance and Multiple Equilibria

S-Tier
Journal: Review of Economic Studies
Year: 1991
Volume: 58
Issue: 2
Pages: 321-332

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The Lucas Critique of Econometric Policy Evaluation argues that the parameters of econometric models are subject to theoretical cross-equation restrictions which follow from the fact that the endogenous variables of the models are chosen optimally by forward-looking agents. In this paper I argue that these facts alone are insufficient to generate such restrictions. I present an example of a model in which there exist multiple stationary rational expectations equilibria one of which is supported by a process-invariant forecast rule. Immunity to the Lucas Critique is proposed as a selection criterion in models with multiple equilibria.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:restud:v:58:y:1991:i:2:p:321-332.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25