Increasing the credibility of the twin birth instrument

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2018
Volume: 33
Issue: 3
Pages: 457-472

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Twin births are an important instrument for the endogenous fertility decision. However, twin births are not exogenous either as dizygotic twinning is correlated with maternal characteristics. Following the medical literature, we assume that monozygotic twins are exogenous, and construct a new instrument, which corrects for the selection although monozygotic twinning is usually unobserved in survey and administrative datasets. Using administrative data from Sweden, we show that the usual twin instrument is related to observed and unobserved determinants of economic outcomes, while our new instrument is not. In our applications we find that the classical twin instrument underestimates the negative effect of fertility on labor income. This finding is in line with the observation that high earners are more likely to delay childbearing and hence have a higher risk to get dizygotic twins.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:33:y:2018:i:3:p:457-472
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25