Sir, Yes, Sir! Hierarchy, Coups and the Political Preferences of Army Officers

A-Tier
Journal: Economic Journal
Year: 2020
Volume: 130
Issue: 629
Pages: 1317-1345

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

I show that coups that break the chain of command polarise the military along hierarchical lines. I study an instance of Venezuelan history in which the political preferences of individual members of the army towards former coup leader Hugo Chávez became observable. Outranking Chávez at the time of the insubordination increases the probability of later opposing his presidency. Causal estimates rely on a fuzzy regression discontinuity design, where minimum time requirements for promotion in the army provide exogenous variation in the ranking of officers at the time of the coup. I discuss implications for the literature on civil–military relations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:econjl:v:130:y:2020:i:629:p:1317-1345.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25