Can extreme rainfall trigger democratic change? The role of flood-induced corruption

B-Tier
Journal: Public Choice
Year: 2017
Volume: 171
Issue: 3
Pages: 331-358

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract Using a new dataset of extreme rainfall covering 130 countries from 1979 to 2009, this paper investigates whether and how extreme rainfall-driven flooding affects democratic conditions. Our key finding indicates that extreme rainfall-induced flooding exerts two opposing effects on democracy. On one hand, flooding leads to corruption in the chains of emergency relief distribution and other post-disaster assistance, which in turn impels the citizenry to demand more democracy. On the other hand, flooding induces autocratic tendencies in incumbent regimes because efficient post-disaster management with no dissent, chaos or plunder might require government to undertake repressive actions. The net estimated effect is an improvement in democratic conditions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:kap:pubcho:v:171:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11127-017-0440-1
Journal Field
Public
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24