Testing for Jump Spillovers Without Testing for Jumps

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of the American Statistical Association
Year: 2020
Volume: 115
Issue: 531
Pages: 1214-1226

Authors (3)

Valentina Corradi (not in RePEc) Walter Distaso (not in RePEc) Marcelo Fernandes (Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV))

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article develops statistical tools for testing conditional independence among the jump components of the daily quadratic variation, which we estimate using intraday data. To avoid sequential bias distortion, we do not pretest for the presence of jumps. If the null is true, our test statistic based on daily integrated jumps weakly converges to a Gaussian random variable if both assets have jumps. If instead at least one asset has no jumps, then the statistic approaches zero in probability. We show how to compute asymptotically valid bootstrap-based critical values that result in a consistent test with asymptotic size equal to or smaller than the nominal size. Empirically, we study jump linkages between US futures and equity index markets. We find not only strong evidence of jump cross-excitation between the SPDR exchange-traded fund and E-mini futures on the S&P 500 index, but also that integrated jumps in the E-mini futures during the overnight period carry relevant information. Supplementary materials for this article are available as an online supplement.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:jnlasa:v:115:y:2020:i:531:p:1214-1226
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25