Trade Shocks and Credit Reallocation

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2025
Volume: 115
Issue: 4
Pages: 1142-69

Authors (3)

Stefano Federico (Banca d'Italia) Fadi Hassan (not in RePEc) Veronica Rappoport (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper identifies a credit-supply contraction that arises endogenously after trade liberalization. Banks with loan portfolios concentrated in sectors exposed to competition from China face an increase in nonperforming loans after China's entry into the World Trade Organization. As a result, they reduce the supply of credit to firms, irrespective of the firm's sector of operation. This cut in credit translates into lower employment, investment, and output. Through this mechanism, the financial channel amplifies the shock to firms already hit by import competition from China and passes it on to firms in sectors expected to expand upon trade liberalization.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:115:y:2025:i:4:p:1142-69
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25