A variance spillover analysis without covariances: What do we miss?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2015
Volume: 51
Issue: C
Pages: 174-195

Authors (2)

Fengler, Matthias R. (Universität St. Gallen) Gisler, Katja I.M. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We evaluate the relevance of covariances in the transmission mechanism of variance spillovers across the US stock, US bond and gold markets from July 2003 to December 2012. For that purpose, we perform a comparative spillover analysis between a model that considers covariances and a model that considers only variances. Our results emphasise the importance of covariances. Including covariances leads to an overall increase of the spillover level and detects the beginnings of the financial crisis and of the US debt ceiling crisis earlier than the spillover measure that considers only variances. Even for the low-dimensional system that we consider, one misses important variance spillover channels when covariances are excluded.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:51:y:2015:i:c:p:174-195
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25