Judgmental overconfidence and trading activity

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Year: 2014
Volume: 107
Issue: PB
Pages: 827-842

Authors (2)

Fellner-Röhling, Gerlinde (Universität Ulm) Krügel, Sebastian (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the theoretically proposed link between judgmental overconfidence and trading activity. In addition to applying classical measures of miscalibration, we introduce a measure to capture misperception of signal reliability, which is the relevant bias in the theoretical overconfidence literature. We relate the obtained overconfidence measures to trading activity in call and continuous experimental asset markets. Our results confirm prior findings that classical miscalibration measures are not related to trading activity. Misperception of signal reliability is positively related to trading volume in the continuous market for one of two treatments. In the other one, no relation is found except that highly overconfident subjects trade less. In addition, we find that men trade more than women at high levels of risk aversion, but the gender trading gap vanishes as risk aversion lessens. The reason is that the trading activity of women seems to be more sensitive to risk attitudes than that of men.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeborg:v:107:y:2014:i:pb:p:827-842
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25